Boys -
Girls
New Prairie Semi-State
2011
-
2012 -
2013
These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this semi-state. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a
projection of this round of the tournament.
Semi-State Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the regional simulation for each trial were included in the semi-state simulation for that trial.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
School | Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score | Min Score | Max Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
---|
Valparaiso |
100.0% |
1.1 |
51 |
17 |
140 |
88.4 |
11.6 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Warsaw |
100.0% |
1.9 |
81 |
30 |
215 |
11.6 |
87.5 |
0.9 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Hobart |
100.0% |
5.2 |
184 |
83 |
322 |
|
0.5 |
29.5 |
20.3 |
14.3 |
10.6 |
7.8 |
5.7 |
4.3 |
3.0 |
2.3 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Crown Point |
100.0% |
5.5 |
188 |
86 |
343 |
|
0.2 |
26.5 |
18.6 |
14.3 |
10.7 |
9.2 |
7.2 |
5.3 |
4.1 |
2.3 |
1.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Munster |
100.0% |
6.9 |
210 |
90 |
349 |
|
0.1 |
9.9 |
12.9 |
11.9 |
13.0 |
12.0 |
10.8 |
9.3 |
8.2 |
6.2 |
3.8 |
1.5 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
Portage |
99.7% |
7.2 |
213 |
106 |
358 |
|
0.0 |
8.3 |
10.6 |
13.0 |
12.4 |
12.4 |
11.4 |
10.1 |
8.2 |
6.2 |
4.3 |
2.2 |
0.5 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
West Lafayette |
100.0% |
7.3 |
215 |
101 |
362 |
|
0.1 |
8.4 |
9.8 |
11.3 |
12.3 |
12.0 |
11.3 |
10.8 |
9.3 |
7.2 |
4.9 |
2.0 |
0.7 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
McCutcheon |
100.0% |
7.4 |
216 |
101 |
381 |
|
0.1 |
8.0 |
11.1 |
12.0 |
12.4 |
10.8 |
10.6 |
9.7 |
8.5 |
7.1 |
5.7 |
2.9 |
1.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
Chesterton |
98.0% |
8.1 |
226 |
94 |
360 |
|
0.0 |
4.5 |
7.9 |
9.4 |
9.8 |
10.9 |
11.1 |
11.0 |
10.5 |
10.0 |
7.8 |
3.7 |
1.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Lowell |
100.0% |
8.8 |
236 |
115 |
349 |
|
|
2.0 |
3.9 |
6.4 |
8.1 |
10.3 |
11.7 |
13.5 |
14.2 |
13.4 |
10.9 |
4.6 |
1.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
Lake Central |
99.9% |
9.8 |
251 |
125 |
410 |
|
|
1.2 |
2.6 |
3.8 |
5.3 |
7.2 |
9.1 |
11.6 |
13.1 |
14.9 |
15.4 |
9.7 |
5.3 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
LaPorte |
95.7% |
10.0 |
253 |
121 |
372 |
|
|
0.8 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
4.5 |
6.0 |
8.3 |
10.0 |
12.7 |
16.3 |
17.6 |
10.5 |
3.8 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
Wheeler |
51.1% |
12.4 |
291 |
125 |
405 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
3.1 |
5.4 |
9.6 |
15.5 |
13.4 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
Rochester |
100.0% |
12.6 |
305 |
157 |
454 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
2.9 |
5.1 |
8.2 |
14.1 |
27.7 |
29.4 |
6.2 |
1.7 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
|
|
New Prairie |
16.8% |
13.4 |
319 |
227 |
389 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
5.9 |
8.0 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
Morgan Twp |
38.7% |
13.7 |
334 |
258 |
406 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.4 |
10.9 |
22.3 |
3.6 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
Andrean |
0.2% |
13.5 |
339 |
285 |
401 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
Western |
100.0% |
15.6 |
399 |
269 |
499 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.1 |
6.1 |
38.4 |
37.9 |
15.7 |
0.7 |
|
|
Culver Academies |
100.0% |
15.6 |
400 |
228 |
508 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.8 |
4.9 |
39.3 |
38.7 |
15.6 |
0.6 |
|
|
Jefferson |
100.0% |
16.7 |
440 |
262 |
556 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.2 |
10.0 |
19.9 |
57.5 |
11.1 |
|
|
Logansport |
100.0% |
17.9 |
502 |
362 |
585 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
1.3 |
10.7 |
87.7 |
|
|
Runner | School | Rating | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
Kyle Eller |
Lowell |
15:47 |
100.0% |
1.8 |
36.0 |
17.4 |
12.3 |
11.3 |
8.7 |
5.5 |
4.3 |
2.6 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
Jacob Poyner |
Warsaw |
15:49 |
100.0% |
2.2 |
23.0 |
23.5 |
18.3 |
12.5 |
8.4 |
5.6 |
4.0 |
2.2 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
Ellis Coon |
Warsaw |
15:53 |
100.0% |
3.3 |
9.5 |
15.7 |
19.2 |
16.3 |
12.9 |
9.2 |
7.2 |
4.7 |
2.4 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Alec Kostelnik |
Morgan Twp |
15:54 |
100.0% |
3.8 |
14.5 |
14.1 |
11.4 |
12.1 |
13.8 |
9.9 |
8.7 |
6.6 |
3.8 |
2.3 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
Robert Murphy |
Warsaw |
15:55 |
100.0% |
4.1 |
5.3 |
10.1 |
15.3 |
17.8 |
15.4 |
11.4 |
8.6 |
6.9 |
3.9 |
2.3 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Ari Coulopoulos |
Valparaiso |
15:57 |
100.0% |
4.6 |
7.8 |
10.8 |
10.8 |
11.7 |
14.6 |
17.1 |
12.4 |
6.6 |
3.4 |
2.1 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Peyton Reed |
Valparaiso |
16:01 |
100.0% |
5.8 |
3.0 |
5.6 |
7.7 |
9.2 |
11.7 |
15.5 |
16.2 |
12.4 |
7.2 |
4.2 |
2.5 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
Taylor Bisacchi |
Valparaiso |
16:08 |
100.0% |
7.7 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
2.5 |
4.4 |
5.9 |
9.2 |
13.6 |
18.9 |
13.4 |
9.1 |
6.5 |
4.6 |
2.7 |
2.1 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
Anthony Didion |
LaPorte |
16:15 |
99.9% |
9.7 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
2.1 |
3.4 |
5.6 |
7.3 |
9.3 |
12.6 |
10.7 |
9.0 |
6.9 |
5.8 |
4.3 |
4.0 |
3.1 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
Nick Arndt |
New Prairie |
16:21 |
99.7% |
12.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
3.0 |
4.2 |
5.6 |
8.0 |
9.1 |
9.1 |
7.7 |
6.8 |
6.4 |
5.1 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
3.1 |
2.5 |
Tom Bolanowski |
Munster |
16:22 |
100.0% |
13.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
2.9 |
4.6 |
7.1 |
8.2 |
8.1 |
7.5 |
7.2 |
6.9 |
5.5 |
4.7 |
4.4 |
4.0 |
3.4 |
3.0 |
Jacob Wickes |
McCutcheon |
16:24 |
100.0% |
13.9 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.5 |
4.2 |
6.1 |
7.0 |
7.4 |
7.5 |
6.7 |
5.8 |
5.9 |
4.9 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
3.9 |
3.5 |
Landon Davison |
Valparaiso |
16:24 |
100.0% |
14.2 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
2.5 |
6.1 |
8.1 |
8.2 |
7.8 |
7.3 |
6.8 |
6.5 |
5.9 |
5.1 |
4.8 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
Cooper Williams |
West Lafayette |
16:26 |
100.0% |
15.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
3.2 |
4.7 |
6.2 |
6.6 |
6.2 |
6.7 |
6.6 |
5.4 |
5.0 |
4.7 |
4.6 |
4.5 |
3.7 |
Joel O'Shea |
Wheeler |
16:30 |
97.0% |
18.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
3.0 |
3.8 |
4.3 |
4.7 |
5.1 |
4.9 |
4.4 |
5.1 |
4.8 |
4.6 |
4.4 |
4.2 |
Lewis Duke |
Eastern (Greentown) |
16:33 |
100.0% |
20.6 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
4.3 |
4.2 |
4.6 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
4.6 |
Alex Ray |
Crown Point |
16:33 |
100.0% |
20.6 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
3.4 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
4.6 |
5.0 |
4.8 |
4.7 |
4.6 |
4.5 |
Brent Dunn |
Hobart |
16:33 |
100.0% |
20.5 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
4.0 |
3.9 |
4.4 |
4.7 |
4.5 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.6 |
Daniel Walters |
Crown Point |
16:33 |
100.0% |
20.7 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
3.3 |
3.8 |
4.1 |
4.9 |
4.3 |
4.8 |
4.7 |
4.8 |
4.7 |
Matt Grider |
Western |
16:33 |
100.0% |
20.8 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
4.1 |
4.1 |
4.6 |
4.4 |
4.2 |
4.7 |
4.1 |
Kevin Kenney |
Chesterton |
16:34 |
98.8% |
21.7 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
3.8 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
Andrew Lyp |
Valparaiso |
16:35 |
100.0% |
22.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.4 |
2.2 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
4.5 |
4.5 |
4.2 |
Brian Blaylock |
Lowell |
16:35 |
100.0% |
22.3 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
3.4 |
3.6 |
4.0 |
3.7 |
4.1 |
4.0 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
Leopoldo Burguete |
Culver Academies |
16:35 |
100.0% |
22.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
3.3 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
4.1 |
4.0 |
4.4 |
4.6 |
4.2 |
Tom Cierniak |
Crown Point |
16:35 |
100.0% |
22.9 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
3.9 |
3.8 |
4.4 |
4.1 |
4.0 |
Patrick Dalton |
Valparaiso |
16:37 |
100.0% |
24.4 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
3.9 |
3.9 |
Ryan Kritzer |
Munster |
16:37 |
100.0% |
24.4 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.7 |
4.0 |
3.9 |
3.8 |
Mason McKinney |
McCutcheon |
16:41 |
100.0% |
27.4 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
Xavier Reed |
Valparaiso |
16:41 |
100.0% |
28.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
Jake Cohen |
West Lafayette |
16:42 |
100.0% |
28.9 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
Ben Savage |
Morgan Twp |
16:42 |
84.7% |
27.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
Matthew Fahs-Brown |
Manchester |
16:45 |
100.0% |
31.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
Manny Lopez |
Munster |
16:45 |
100.0% |
31.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
2.3 |
Alex Cordova |
Hobart |
16:45 |
100.0% |
31.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
Tyler Gray |
Merrillville |
16:46 |
94.9% |
32.2 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
Brysten James |
Warsaw |
16:49 |
100.0% |
35.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
David Kampf |
New Prairie |
16:52 |
51.6% |
32.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
Dominic Patacsil |
West Lafayette |
16:53 |
100.0% |
38.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
Nate Gerick |
LaPorte |
16:54 |
95.7% |
39.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
Anthony Best |
Portage |
16:55 |
99.7% |
40.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
John Petroskey |
Hobart |
16:55 |
100.0% |
40.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |